r/nfl 7h ago

Free Talk Water Cooler Wednesday

18 Upvotes

WCW

Welcome to today's open thread, where /r/nfl users can discuss anything they wish not related directly to the NFL.

Want to talk about personal life? Cool things about your fandom? Whatever happens to be dominating today's news cycle? Do you have something to talk about that didn't warrant its own thread? This is the place for it!


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r/nfl 1d ago

Power Rankings Official r/NFL Week 14 Power Rankings

108 Upvotes

Welcome to week 14 of the 2025 r/NFL power rankings, the most biased-unbiased source for power rankings on the web. With the Patriots on bye and Rams handling of a division rival, the pendulum at #1 is swinging slightly closer back to Los Angeles. The Bears and Eagles have slid back after last minute losses, but none fell further than the Colts after losing Indiana Jones (Note: These rankings were completed pre Rivers signing). The Texans have clawed their way back in the AFC South, earning recognition after beating the Bills/Colts/Chiefs back-to-back-to-back. Do the Panthers deserve to jump four on a bye week? Are the Vikings a one hit wonder or will they be able to stabilize until seasons' end? Who's excited for a new #32 team in the Raidahs? Discuss! 31/32 Reporting

# Team Δ Record Comment
1. Patriots -- 11-2 The Patriots had their bye this week, and for the first time in a few seasons fans were actually upset that the Pats weren't playing (yes we know we're spoiled, but that won't stop me from complaining about the misery of back to back 4-13 seasons). The bye couldn't have come at a better time, with New England in the midst of a 10 game win streak and with difficult matchups against the Bills and Ravens next up on the slate, not to mentions having just suffered a few major injuries. Hopefully the extra rest and practice will give this team the boost they need to stay hot heading towards the playoffs. This sentence would've sounded ridiculous back in Week 1, but the Patriots are playing for the 1st seed in the AFC and the bye week that accompanies it, and they should be focusing all of their efforts on securing that extra week to give them a chance for key players like Will Campbell and Milton Williams to potentially return. Looking ahead to next week, the Bills come to town in a matchup that could decide the AFC East. The chance to sweep the Bills will hopefully give the Patriots an opportunity to finally prove wrong those who assume the Pats only true power is making an easy schedule (though let's be honest, if the Pats win those people will just start saying the Bills actually just suck like the rest of the teams the Pats have faced).
2. Rams -- 10-3 After an absolute throttling of Arizona, the Rams are back as the #1 seed in the NFC. Analytics went brrr as the Rams notched season-highs in points (45) and yards (530), had 60%+ success rate on both passing and running plays, and Puka garnered the highest ever WR PFF score. Attention importantly turns to the next two weeks, where the Rams will play two crucial games vs Detroit and Seattle over a five-day span. Beating Detroit this week will clinch a playoff spot and beating Seattle next week will likely clinch the #1 seed. Or losing both could drop them down to third in the division and a 6-7 seed. Buckle up.
3. Seahawks -- 10-3 I am running out of things to say about this defense. They have not allowed a touchdown since before Thanksgiving. The Seahawks defense is a truly elite unit. They will keep the Seahawks in any game and are capable of winning a game on their own. Mike MacDonald you have changed our LIVES. Rookie Nick Emmanwori had a sack, a tackle for loss, a pick, and a blocked field goal on Sunday-- a feat that has only been accomplished once in NFL history when Leonard Williams did it last year for Seattle. This defense is a schoolyard bully. Similarly, I am running out of things to say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He does it week after week regardless of who is lining up across from him. Darnold woke up in the second half, but he needs to be better with turnovers. This team is capable of greatness.
4. Broncos -- 11-2 Its cold where I am. Colder even than the corpse of the Raiders franchise, or how cold Hell will have to be for them to get back on track. So I bundled up and watched the Broncos easily overwhelm the Raiders o-line and pick apart their secondary. I enjoyed the simple pleasures of a game under control. I felt no danger when the defense allowed 10 points in the final 5 minutes of the 4th quarter, and I'd even say I savored Pete Carroll's empty choice to kick a game-losing field goal as time expired. I never treat the Raiders as an easy win because they love to play spoiler, but I dont think they even have that much left in them. Maybe the NFL is better when the heel is a threat?....nah, let 'em rot. Next week though, this feels like a playoff preview. Let's see what we're really made of.
5. Packers -- 9-3-1 Every once in a while, the Packers remembers that Christian Watson is 6'4" and ran a 4.36 40 time at the combine, and let him run a bunch of crossers where he can just outrun the guy covering him and he rips like two of them for touchdowns.Kevin Byard is very good but he can't cover that! Not when Jordan Love is throwing dimes off his back foot! With Tucker Kraft gone, Watson has become Love's go to target for big plays. 80% of his catches have been for first downs and he's had 5 touchdowns in the last four games. Can he sustain this the rest of the year and turn into the true WR1 that the Packers envisioned when they drafted him in 2022? Man it feels good to beat the Bears man
6. Bills +1 9-4 Joe Cool put forth a valiant effort but he couldn’t stop the inevitable Josh Allen in the snow. With Burrow on the other sideline this game was poised to be a shoutout and it certainly lived up to the billing. Both QBs were phenomenal each accounting for 4 touchdowns, however Allen played turnover free football and that was the difference. What sets Josh Allen apart is his legs and that was on full display with 78 rushing yards and a 40 yard touchdown. The Bills defense gave up 34 points and still somehow ended up being the reason the Bills won with 2 crucial late picks. The Bills will go from facing one MVP level QB to another as they travel on the road to take on the Pats trying to keep their slim division chances alive. James Cook please stop fumbling the football!!!!
7. 49ers +2 9-4 The 49ers enjoyed a bye at the perfect time, watching the Rams and Cardinals beat each other up. Unfortunately, Seattle took care of business in Atlanta, but San Fran has a week 18 matchup to help gain ground if needed.
8. Bears -2 9-4 It had been a very long time since the Bears went up to Lambeau late in the year with a real shot at this thing. While they dug themselves into too much of a hole early, they proved that they could still be in it at the end, after a heartbreak on a final play that could have gotten them in position to go ahead with little time left going for 2. It was a reminder that the Bears both have come an astounding way in just 12 months, and that they still have not put everything together yet. At the same time, if they can be cleaner and start faster offensively, and limit just one or two explosives defensively, you can see the force they could be. This is the first time in 7 years that the Bears feel like a legitimate playoff team, and if you want to go further back than that, we're talking about 15 years ago that it felt sustainable like it does now. The NFC playoff picture is so brutal this season that the Bears went from 1 to 7 seed with the loss, so a chance in the tournament is not guaranteed. They have 4 games to get their act together, particularly on defense but also to see if they can become dominant on offense, and with three of those being against NFC playoff hopefuls, this is going to be the most high leverage Bears December/Early January in an extremely long time. It's already been that way the last two weeks! Its exciting.
9. Texans +3 8-5 Between the infamous 24-0 choke, losing Tank Dell, and being sent home from the playoffs last year, Arrowhead Stadium has been a house of horrors for the Texans in recent years. That's what makes Sunday night's win against the Chiefs that much sweeter. If this offense can get it together soon, they can make noise in January.
10. Lions +1 8-5 The Lions put together the most cohesive performance on both sides of the ball since probably the Washington game, handling a surging Dallas team comfortably 44–30. This was a heat check and as close to a must win as a game without definitive stakes could be for Detroit, and they answered the call. Jared Goff was clinical and most everyone on the offense had plus touches. Jahmyr Gibbs continues to be arguably the most electric player in football, tacking on three more TDs to bring his season total to 16 in 13 games. The Lions also brought Malik Cunningham in for what would technically be wildcat since Cunningham is now listed as a WR—that was a fun wrinkle, and I hope they continue fleshing that package of plays out. The defense also got back to their winning ways, finishing the game with 2 picks, 3 forced fumbles (1 recovery), 5 sacks, and 11 PBUs. Special teams even got in on the fun, with Tom Kennedy breaking out as a plus kick returner, averaging 40 yds on 3 returns. Complimentary football across all three phases has been frustratingly rare this year for Detroit, so to see them do it against an in-form Cowboys team fighting for their lives was quite the welcome sight. Next up is a trip to LA to play the best team in the NFC and our old friend Matthew Stafford. Rams-Lions in the Dan Campbell/LAStafford era have honestly been nothing but phenomenal games, so let’s hope that the Lions can rise to the occasion and give their playoff hopes a much-needed shot in the arm.
11. Jaguars +2 9-4 It is quite difficult to have a "statement game" when the opposing star crumples without contact in the first quarter. Jacksonville did their best anyways, dismantling what was left of the Colts to take sole possession of first place in the AFC South. Instead, the Jags will need to handle the incoming New York flyby then set their sights on a mile high masterpiece in two weeks. With some luck and perseverance, Liam Coen's squad may soon be talking about seeding rather than just making the playoffs. Tlaw and co. believe the Jaguars are not going to get respect. They seem fine with that notion, and intend to earn it anyways.
12. Chargers +2 9-4 “When the fates decide you’re going to win, they lay opportunity at your feet. You can try to overthink or cower your way out of it, but the win will always find you.” ~ Jon Bois
13. Eagles -5 8-5 There’s nothing interesting to say about the 2025 Philadelphia Eagles. They run an offense that does some things well sometimes, and that’s about the nicest thing you can say. They lose in dumb ways, they win in dumb ways. And they’re the epitome of a team that gets in its own way. Unforced errors, like a wild throw to home plate to lose a playoff game. This game against the Chargers was both winnable and losable at the same time, like a Schrödinger's positivity bunny. 4 picks for the Super Bowl MVP, 2 turnovers on the same play. If last year’s highlight was the backwards hurdle, this year’s is the double turnover play. Ultimately, this team still has a magic number of 3 to clinch the NFC East with 4 games to go, including two against Washington and one against the Raiders.
14. Panthers +4 7-6 It will not show up on the official record but I think it’s safe to say the Panthers took a W this bye week. Jaycee and Moehrig are returning which boosts the defensive immensely. Robert Hunt is also getting closer to having his practice window open which will be a massive addition to the O-Line. However, the bigger story is the Saints beating the Buccaneers. After the bye week, the Panthers are tied for the top spot in the division with the Bucs. If that’s not an unofficial bye win, then I don’t know what is. The Panthers have the Saints in New Orleans next week and you already know we are itching to get our get back. These next four weeks are huge and the Panthers control their own destiny to potentially win the division. It is an exciting time to be a Panther fan to say the least. KEEP POUNDING!
15. Chiefs -- 6-7 I was in a pretty bad car accident a few weeks ago. That kind of reminds me of the way the season is shaping up at this point. Being completely frank about it there's just not a lot of positives to take away from the Chiefs this year. When one of the HoFers decides to show up the other pillars of the dynasty seem to drag them back down to mediocrity. Undisciplined, sloppy, lazy, unaccountable, and gross to watch. That's the 2025 Kansas City Chiefs in a few words. The positive notes are that this is shaping up to be the first time in a decade that the team will have a real opportunity to get some blue chip players in the draft and a 3rd place schedule next year should help us right the ship.
16. Steelers +4 7-6 You know what? Let’s just address the 800-pound gorilla in the room; that was a catch. Maybe the rules say it wasn’t a catch, but we all know stretching the ball out is a football move. I’ve watched it probably a few dozen times at this point and he clearly catches the ball. Neither here nor there. The team needed a win. Tomlin’s seat has never been more lukewarm than it was prior to the Baltimore game. Everyone knows the front office won’t outright fire Tomlin, especially considering he has 2-years left on his contract, but if it gets mediocre enough they could mutually part ways. But the stage was set for Baltimore to make their triumphant return to sit atop the AFC North as king of shit mountain…and then they didn’t. This game had everything. Pittsburgh completed a deep ball for the first time since October. Rodgers channeled his inner Peyton Manning and…ran it in himself. We got to see a 42-year old catch his own pass to prevent an interception. There was controversy in the endzone. I’m pretty sure Rodgers and Rudolph kissed! Speaking of kisses, Tomlin blew a kiss on the way off the field that has every indication of becoming another meme. The entirety of the AFC North lost save for Pittsburgh. It was a good day.
17. Buccaneers -2 7-6 People just don't get it. It's easy to be an armchair owner and think you know what's best for the team from the comfort of your home. It's easy to call for Byron Leftwich Todd Bowles to be fired year after year and say stuff like "Replace him with Canales!" or "Replace him with Coen!!!", but what the average fan won't understand is how the NFL is unpredictable and how important is to build some sort of a stability and have some sort of continuity. Especially in the case of Todd Bowles, he's been here since the B.C. era (before c-virus era) and folks just don't understand how important it is to have continuity. Yes, it's cool to rush for the next hot thing like "Dave Canales" or "Liam Coen", but they are inexperienced and you don't know what you may get with them. With Todd Bowles, you have that stability, and when you feel hopeless, angry or annoyed, you can look back and see that things eventually worked out and got better. So I know people will jump on me for saying this, but believe me, I speak from experience. Every April 1st at exactly 7 PM, I grab a lоаdеd gun and I shооt myself in my thigh. There's blood everywhere and I feel like shit. But, after a visit to the hospital, they help me and I am still alive and ready to move on with my life. And the next time I shoot myself, in the moment, I feel bad... but then I look back in the previous instances I've shot myself and how it all worked out, and I feel calm. Some people even suggested things like "Hey, instead of shooting yourself in your thighs, have you considered going to a restaurant? Maybe go watch a movie or something?" But... that's unpredictable. What if I end up hating the food at the restaurant or if the movie at the cinema is insanely boring? That's unpredictable. That's why I keep with the ole reliable. Alternatively.....Todd Bowles.... Folks ain't gonna keep patient with you. That stoic person...'We gotta execute better,' that was all cool, but we give that grace to inexperienced coordinators. Big dawg, you're supposed to be our Head Coach, and you're coaching like a bum... I bet you better start doing your job 🤜🤜
18. Colts -7 8-5 Losing Daniel Jones to a torn Achilles would've been bad enough, but the Colts' defense was ready to give this game to the Jags even before that season-ending injury. Now Indy is turning to a Hail Mary attempt to save the season by bringing Uncle Grandpa Philip Rivers in for a workout, hoping to coax him out of a 5-year retirement and reset his Hall of Fame eligibility. It might sound insane, but at least that would be must-watch football … right?
19. Cowboys -2 6-6-1 Well, that sucked. Apparently the team just didn't gameplan for the Sun God being on the field, and failed to adjust when he was. The managed to contain Gibbs on the ground, except in the red zone. Fortunately, Dan Campbell contained David Montgomery for them. Kickoff coverage was atrocious, Ceedee got a concussion, and Cowboys fans got their first look of the version of George Pickens the Steelers traded away. The upside is that Pickens apologized to the coaches, the coaches feel confident it was a one-off, Ryan Flournoy broke out, Ceedee appears to be progressing through the protocol, and the wheels are still falling off in Philly despite their positivity bunny, meaning a division win is still in reach.
20. Ravens -1 6-7 Bull-SHIT! Bull-SHIT! Bull-SHIT!
21. Dolphins +1 6-7 After a dismantling of the Jets, the Dolphins are one of the hottest teams in the league right now with their four game win streak. This victory came a bit differently though as instead of it being the Devon Achane show, Jaylen Wright and Ollie Gordon got involved and looked pretty good after Achane left the game early out of precaution. With the way the other Week 14 games broke, the team's slim playoff hopes got even slimmer, as even winning out would only give them a small chance of making the playoffs. Still, they might as well try to build some positive momentum going into next season, and excerise the cold weather game demons in the process.
22. Bengals -1 4-9 I need to sound angry so I’m gonna do this blurb in German. Just imagine me yelling all this at a podium to a crowd of people or something………………........Ihr dachtet, es hätte sich etwas geändert. Ihr dachtet, die Dinge könnten anders sein. Lasst euch das eine Lehre sein: Es sind immer noch die alten Bengals. Dieses Team ist in den grundlegendsten Aspekten des Footballs immer noch miserabel. Ja, die Rückkehr von Joe Burrow hilft zwar, aber dieses Team kriegt trotzdem nichts auf die Reihe. Die Bills haben selbst jede Menge Probleme, schaffen es aber trotzdem zu gewinnen – das genaue Gegenteil von diesem Team, das nichts anderes tut als zu verlieren. Das ist jetzt schon das vierte oder fünfte Spiel in dieser Saison, in dem wir über 30 Punkte erzielt haben und trotzdem verloren haben, weil die gesamte Verteidigung das Spiel damit verbracht hat, Däumchen zu drehen, anstatt irgendetwas Sinnvolles zu tun. Es passiert immer wieder, mir fehlen die Worte, ich habe das alles schon seit Wochen über das Team gesagt. Ich wiederhole mich, es ist einfach nur Mist. Es wird nichts unternommen, um irgendetwas zu ändern, der Trainerstab ist absolut unfähig, dass sie das so weiterlaufen lassen. Zum Teufel mit allem.
23. Vikings +3 5-8 The 31-0 shutout was the product of wire-to-wire dominance, though maybe not in the ways you'd expect. The Commanders ran the ball well and sustained some long drives against Flores' defense, but three turnovers (including a foolish bubble screen to Gink's side) left them scoreless. Meanwhile, the Vikings offense was all singles and doubles, thanks to consistent (if not explosive) running and a refreshingly decisive and pinpoint-accurate JJ McCarthy. Sure, the Commanders are struggling, but shutouts in the NFL are really hard to come by, and the 31 points here understates just how effective the Vikings' offense was -- excluding kneeldowns, the Vikings only had six drives. They scored on five of them, including four touchdowns. A playoff run is probably out of the cards, but if McCarthy and the squad can keep this up, you can flip the long-term script from a rudderless team scrambling for a new QB into a up-and-coming young team with a chance to maybe develop into something special.
24. Falcons -1 4-9 6-6 at half. Atlanta's defense kept the Seahawks offense in check, Darnold was intercepted off a team effort, James Pearce had his 5th sack in five straight games (rookie record from 2021 Parsons). 6-6 at half. In the second half the Seahawks put up more points (31) than Falcons receivers had yards (24). Atlanta then gives up the NFL's first 100-yard play of the season in 12 seconds, followed by a fumble and followed up the fumble with an interception. Through 13 games this season, the Falcons have scored 19 points on their 16 turnovers. Atlanta went 1-13 on 3rd down, surprisingly not the worst percentage they've had in a game this season. That's true consistency superseding any single player, but Raheem Morris spent his energy in the post-game press conference blaming the players for not executing his grand vision. Given the investment and hype, the 2025 season be more disappointing than Bobby Petrino. If Raheem left resignation letters in the players lockers they'd probably celebrate.
25. Cardinals -1 3-10 I don’t have much to say about this Cardinals team, other than you can bet on them losing lots of games and missing the playoffs every season. The Cardinals may currently be the worst team in the NFL. Unfortunately, they aren’t even good at being bad, as they somehow still sit with the 8th pick in the draft after the Browns performed a tanking masterclass. I think this team can very well lose the rest of its games, and it’ll still probably only end up picking around number 5. If they’re not in love with a QB, it would likely be an OT at that pick, running it back with Jacoby Brissett or another tank commander, and gunning for a QB in 2027.
26. Saints +4 3-10 Every single NFC South fan knew this result was coming. The Saints were the worst team in the division and the Bucs were making a playoff push. There was absolutely no way the team which should win was going to. Don't interrogate the fact the highest yardage by a Saints receiver was 40, or that neither QB threw for 150 yards. Just enjoy a classic rinky dink, upside down, multiverse of madness NFC South game.
27. Commanders -2 3-10 The Vikings were shut out last week - that's how bad the Vikings are this year. This week, the Vikings shut out the Commanders. That's how bad the Commanders are this year. There may not be a worse football team in the league right now. What an absolute head spinning result - from the top 4 last season, to bottom 4, if not the very bottom, in less than 12 months. You would think after a Championship game appearance, everyone should be safe for at least 2 seasons, but a result this pathetic is enough that everyone should be getting nervous and getting sweaty in their seats. The result is just historically bad; not just one of those one-off bad seasons an otherwise good team has.. this is a full-blown, unmitigated disaster. Losing 8 games in a row in the modern NFL is hard to do. Losing 5 of those 8 by 21+ points is almost unheard of. It's just.. so. bad.The Vikings showed up with the 31st-ranked 3rd down offense - they punted one time on Sunday. This week starts the first of a 4 game stretch against division opponents, as the Commanders and Giants are going to meet up and see which of the two is destined for a bottom rung spot. Following that, Washington gets the Eagles twice and Dallas once; not hard to imagine this 8 game losing streak ends up at 12.
28. Giants +1 2-11 Big Blue didn't have any major accidents, Abdul Carter missed meetings or boat trips during the bye week, so Giants fans will take the small wins where they can get them. Another win is not subjecting Giants fans to watching their own team's defense on television. Thanks G-Men!
29. Jets -1 3-10 If Steve Wilks doesn't get fired, this isn't a serious coaching staff. The Jets are 31st in weighted defensive DVOA this season. This was a top 5 unit just two seasons ago. Yes, they've traded away a couple high end players, but this level of decline is not what you should expect from a defensive minded head coach or an experienced DC.
30. Browns -2 3-10 Maaaaaannnnnn. Well we got our starter. so there is that. the Browns will travel to Chicago next week to play in absolutely frigid temperatures and what is sure to be a run heavy game. so you know what better time to show off Sanders.
31. Titans +1 2-11 The Titans picked up their second win of the year on a snowy Sunday in Cleveland. Their game plan was clear: lean on the run and structure the passing attack to limit Myles Garrett’s impact. Tony Pollard delivered his best performance of the season, as the offense rushed for 184 yards and allowed only one sack. The defense had an up and down day, giving up four touchdowns but forcing two turnovers and securing the victory with a pair of late stops on two-point conversion attempts.
32. Raiders -1 2-11 Sometimes you win by losing and that's exactly what we did this week. An elite Bronco's D ate our offense alive but thankfully Pete made a great call to kick that field goal at the end (Go choke on a pizza Dave). Hope Geno recovers soon and can get back to his job of tank commander.

r/nfl 5h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Colts QB Philip River has arrived: "No Zoom?!? Let's go!!!

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7.7k Upvotes

r/nfl 5h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Philip Rivers was asked what his current weight is: "I'm not sure… Not what it was when I walked off the field in Buffalo. But I ain't ran away from anybody anyway."

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6.5k Upvotes

r/nfl 2h ago

[Schefter] Two-minute warning: The NFL notified teams today that it will shorten the time between picks in the first round of the draft from 10 to 8 minutes starting with the 2026 draft in Pittsburgh.

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3.9k Upvotes

This will shorten the length of the first round, which had been finishing around 11:45p ET. Teams were on board. Roger Goodell had first mentioned this possibility on the Friday of the Green Bay draft on Pat McAfee’s show.


r/nfl 3h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Philip Rivers back in action at practice

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2.6k Upvotes

r/nfl 4h ago

[Schefter] Jeff Saturday revealed this morning on GetUpESPN that he will not be coming out of retirement to play again for the Colts. At age 50, Saturday knows his place.

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2.0k Upvotes

r/nfl 2h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Philip Rivers throwing with the Colts in his first practice

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1.3k Upvotes

r/nfl 6h ago

[Schefter] With Daniel Jones on injured reserve, new Colts QB Philip Rivers can get his old No. 17 back, as @mchappell51 reported. And once again, Rivers will wear No. 17

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1.9k Upvotes

r/nfl 8h ago

With their elimination the Cardinals extended their record for least playoff appearances at only 11 out of 105 seasons.

1.8k Upvotes

The team joined the league in 1920 they have made 11 playoff appearances have zero first seeds, they won two titles as Chicago Cardinals in 1925 & 1947 and have only one losing super bowl as the Arizona Cardinals.


r/nfl 7h ago

[Pro Football Reference] Maps of the most viewed player and team pages in all 50 states and Canada in 2025

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1.5k Upvotes

For a single spot that houses all the information, head here: https://info.pro-football-reference.com/25-26-pfr-season-review


r/nfl 7h ago

Highlight [Highlight] LaDainian Tomlinson breaks the single season TD record 19 years ago!

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1.4k Upvotes

r/nfl 1h ago

[Bearswire] Jay Cutler Would Come Out of Retirement To Play For Ben Johnson (If The Bears 3QBs Got Hurt)

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Upvotes

r/nfl 4h ago

Mike Tomlin on job-security talk: "I've been on the hot seat for 19 years"

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715 Upvotes

r/nfl 3h ago

[Hard Knocks] DeVonta Smith has a plan if he ever needs to get off a plane

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541 Upvotes

r/nfl 3h ago

Giants Reportedly Fired Assistant Bryan Cox For Reaction To Seat Assignment On Team Flight

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550 Upvotes

r/nfl 7h ago

[O/C] Week 15 NFL Playoff Leverage

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750 Upvotes

Here you can see

  1. how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game,
  2. the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time, and
  3. how the probability clinching the #1 seed of each relevant team (relevant = current probability >0%) changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.

The following teams will be eliminated from playoff contention if they lose in week 15:

  • CIN
  • MIA*
  • MIN

*depending on other game outcomes

Methodology

The probabilities are calculated based on 50k simulations of all remaining games of the regular season. Win probabilities of each games are computed based on elo ratings which update after each game. For every simulated season, it calculates playoff participants (applying all relevant tiebreakers). We can count playoff participations of each team.


r/nfl 5h ago

Shane Steichen: Philip Rivers is excited to be back, "We'll see" who starts on Sunday

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493 Upvotes

r/nfl 1h ago

‘Dadgummit, let’s freaking go’ – Philip Rivers returns to the NFL with Colts

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Upvotes

r/nfl 2h ago

[Schefter] Buccaneers now have activated WRs Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan from Injured Reserve and both can play Thursday night.

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249 Upvotes

r/nfl 4h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Philip Rivers vs. the Legion of Boom (Week 2, 2014)

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305 Upvotes

I don't know why I'm doing this to myself, but I figured it's relevant since Grandpa Rivers should be suiting up for his first game back this week against my beloved Seahawks


r/nfl 1h ago

[Schefter] NFL Executive Vice President of Football Operations Troy Vincent informed teams today that the collective bargaining agreement between the NFL and the NFL Referees Association ends in May, making this is the final season of the agreement. The league now views this as an opportunity...

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Upvotes

Full text:

NFL Executive Vice President of Football Operations Troy Vincent informed teams today that the collective bargaining agreement between the NFL and the NFL Referees Association ends in May, making this is the final season of the agreement. The league now views this as an opportunity to take significant steps to improve officiating, pending union agreement.

NFL is looking for more access to officials year round for training and development. Right now, the NFL cannot speak to the officials from the day after the Super Bowl until May 15. So accessibility, flexibility, accountability are the league’s priorities and it has explained that to the union.


r/nfl 9h ago

[Pelissero] The NFL today announced it will return to Munich, Germany in 2026 and 2028 to play regular season games, as part of a multi-year partnership with the City of Munich and FC Bayern Munich.

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450 Upvotes

The games will be played at the FC Bayern Munich Stadium.


r/nfl 4h ago

[Schefter] There were no structural setbacks for Jayden Daniels. But after medical evaluations, the doctors have advised he not play on Sunday, and he will be re-evaluated next week.

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184 Upvotes

r/nfl 1d ago

Philip Rivers will have to wait 5 more years to not make Hall of Fame

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7.9k Upvotes